Published: June 30, 2026 Last reviewed: June 2026 Educational analysis only. Not personalized financial advice. In 1980, even the heaviest bar in the vault began to lose its weight. −83%real value lost by a buyer at gold’s 1980 peak, by 2001 16%of gold’s price movement (1971–2020) explained by CPI changes (World Gold Council) 28%top collectibles […]
Is Gold Inflation Hedge? 83% Loss After 1980 Read More »
The yield curve recession indicator has flagged every US recession in sixty years, yet selling at inversion skipped a 28.8% rally.
Yield Curve Recession Indicator: Warning, Not a Sell Signal Read More »
Even with perfect foresight, business cycle investing beat the market by at most 2.3% a year from 1948 to 2007, and real costs erase it. Here is what works.
Business Cycle Investing: Why Sector Rotation Is Hard to Trade Read More »
GDP arrives after the quarter and changes as fuller data comes in. This guide compares official estimate vintages and gives investors a practical rule for deciding whether a headline warrants action.
Why GDP Is a Lagging Indicator and Why the First Estimate Can Mislead Investors Read More »
A strong jobs report can lift Treasury yields and pressure stocks, but one preliminary payroll estimate is not a clean trade signal. Here is how long-term investors should read the release.
Why a Strong Jobs Report Can Send Stocks Lower Read More »
CPI vs PCE inflation reads like one story until you set the two gauges side by side. The CPI you hear has run about 0.4 point a year hotter than the PCE the Fed targets.
CPI vs PCE Inflation: Which Gauge Should You Use? Read More »
A Fed rate decision is mostly priced in: the S&P 500 reacts to the surprise, not the announced rate, about 1% per unanticipated quarter-point cut.
Fed Rate Decisions: Why Trading Around the Meeting Can Backfire Read More »
TradingView’s default RSI 14 and MACD 12/26/9 are 1970s day-trading numbers. Obey their alerts as a long-term investor and the quiet bill runs about $4,757 a decade.
TradingView Settings for Investors: What to Keep, Change, or Ignore Read More »
We ran 3,000 simulations to price a day-late portfolio tracker. Median 30-year cost: about zero. It adds swing, not a steady drain.
Portfolio Tracker Sync Delay: When Fresh Data Actually Matters Read More »
📅 Originally Published: May 21, 2026 · Last Updated: July 23, 2026 Trading volume can add context, but the research reviewed here does not support a universal rule that it predicts the next price move. The popular hit-rate claim could not be traced to a peer-reviewed source. Treat volume or OBV as supporting evidence, not
Does Volume Precede Price? What the Research Actually Shows Read More »
